Vice President JD Vance has led multiple rounds of high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad since April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced substantive discussion on Iran's nuclear program without a final agreement. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues toward meeting President Trump's red line of verifiable protections preventing Iranian nuclear weapons, even after Tehran’s latest proposal was rejected. These talks follow an early April ceasefire and involve U.S. envoys alongside Vance, with Qatari officials noting a high probability of an eventual deal. Trader focus remains on whether Vance will conduct another direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives before the market’s resolution date amid ongoing bilateral engagement on security and enrichment issues.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$123,979 KL.
May 31
9%
June 30
31%
$123,979 KL.
May 31
9%
June 30
31%
To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 6:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, JD Vance must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vice President JD Vance has led multiple rounds of high-level U.S.-Iran negotiations in Islamabad since April 2026, including a 21-hour session that produced substantive discussion on Iran's nuclear program without a final agreement. As of May 13, Vance stated that progress continues toward meeting President Trump's red line of verifiable protections preventing Iranian nuclear weapons, even after Tehran’s latest proposal was rejected. These talks follow an early April ceasefire and involve U.S. envoys alongside Vance, with Qatari officials noting a high probability of an eventual deal. Trader focus remains on whether Vance will conduct another direct diplomatic meeting with Iranian representatives before the market’s resolution date amid ongoing bilateral engagement on security and enrichment issues.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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