The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 13?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,042 KL.
$29,042 KL.
May 13, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$29,042 KL.
$29,042 KL.
May 13, 2026
19°C or below
$398 KL.
No
20°C
$804 KL.
No
21°C
$652 KL.
No
22°C
$975 KL.
No
23°C
$1,499 KL.
No
24°C
$2,271 KL.
No
25°C
$2,875 KL.
No
26°C
$4,942 KL.
Yes
27°C
$9,589 KL.
No
28°C
$584 KL.
No
29°C or higher
$4,452 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$29,042Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$29,042Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) recorded a minimum air temperature of 26.2°C on May 13, 2026—the lowest of the day—driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability on the 26°C outcome in this resolved market. This observation, captured via standard meteorological instruments from midnight through the full diurnal cycle, aligns with pre-event forecasts anticipating limited overnight cooling amid persistent humidity and scattered clouds, consistent with May climatology where average lows hover around 24–25°C but warmer anomalies prevail in 2026's record-hot year. Scenarios challenging this positioning are negligible, requiring an unprecedented HKO data revision due to instrumental malfunction, as verified readings represent authoritative ground truth with no further updates expected.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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