The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật66-70% 28%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 22%
74%+ 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
11%
58-62%
13%
62-66%
22%
66-70%
28%
70-74%
23%
74%+
13%
66-70% 28%
70-74% 23%
62-66% 22%
74%+ 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$294 KL.
11%
58-62%
$53 KL.
13%
62-66%
$48 KL.
22%
66-70%
$90 KL.
28%
70-74%
$39 KL.
23%
74%+
$191 KL.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
Khối lượng
$715Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Khối lượng
$715Ngày kết thúc
Oct 5, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Quebec provincial election on October 5 features a competitive race with the Parti Québécois holding a narrow lead in recent Léger and other polls, followed closely by a rising Coalition Avenir Québec and trailing Liberals, pointing to a likely minority government. High levels of undecided voters (over 40 percent in recent surveys) and a new 127-riding electoral map add uncertainty to turnout dynamics. Advance voting periods, updated voter lists, and issues like living costs and healthcare access could drive or suppress participation, keeping probabilities clustered around historical benchmarks near 66 percent. Traders see limited separation until clearer signals emerge from campaign mobilization efforts and final-week developments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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