Recent US-Iran diplomatic engagement centers on indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan following the April 11-12, 2026, Islamabad talks, where US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner joined Vice President JD Vance in discussions with Iranian officials led by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. No direct high-level meeting has occurred since that round, amid stalled progress on nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation after President Trump rejected Iran's May 10 proposal as unacceptable. Pakistani intermediaries continue facilitating back-channel exchanges, with potential resumption tied to a fragile ceasefire and upcoming deadlines before June 30. Trader focus remains on whether established US envoys or new administration figures participate in any follow-up, given persistent gaps on verification and regional security commitments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$1,184,874 KL.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
23%
Jared Kushner
35%
Steve Witkoff
43%
$1,184,874 KL.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
23%
Jared Kushner
35%
Steve Witkoff
43%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent US-Iran diplomatic engagement centers on indirect negotiations mediated by Pakistan following the April 11-12, 2026, Islamabad talks, where US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner joined Vice President JD Vance in discussions with Iranian officials led by Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi. No direct high-level meeting has occurred since that round, amid stalled progress on nuclear enrichment limits, sanctions relief, and Strait of Hormuz navigation after President Trump rejected Iran's May 10 proposal as unacceptable. Pakistani intermediaries continue facilitating back-channel exchanges, with potential resumption tied to a fragile ceasefire and upcoming deadlines before June 30. Trader focus remains on whether established US envoys or new administration figures participate in any follow-up, given persistent gaps on verification and regional security commitments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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