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icon for 阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？
地緣政治·Araghchi

阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？

icon for 阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？
地緣政治·Araghchi

阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？

$62,797 交易量

2026-05-31
Polymarket

$62,797 交易量

Polymarket

5月31日

$3,591 交易量

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi remains in office and continues leading diplomatic efforts amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and regional conflicts involving Israel. In mid-May 2026, he attended the BRICS foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi, publicly addressing stalled talks, a lack of trust in U.S. intentions, and Iran's preference for negotiated outcomes over military escalation. Earlier reports from late April noted internal friction, with IRGC hardliners reportedly urging his removal due to policy differences with President Pezeshkian favoring dialogue. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over cabinet stability under these pressures, with no confirmed changes as of the latest developments and no immediate scheduled events that would force a personnel shift before late May.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$62,797
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi remains in office and continues leading diplomatic efforts amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions and regional conflicts involving Israel. In mid-May 2026, he attended the BRICS foreign ministers meeting in New Delhi, publicly addressing stalled talks, a lack of trust in U.S. intentions, and Iran's preference for negotiated outcomes over military escalation. Earlier reports from late April noted internal friction, with IRGC hardliners reportedly urging his removal due to policy differences with President Pezeshkian favoring dialogue. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty over cabinet stability under these pressures, with no confirmed changes as of the latest developments and no immediate scheduled events that would force a personnel shift before late May.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$62,797
結束日期
2026-04-30
市場開放時間
Apr 30, 2026, 3:34 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "5月31日" at 7%, followed by "3月31日" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 7¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 7% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？" has generated $62.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？" is "5月31日" at just 7%, with "3月31日" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "阿巴斯·阿拉格奇（ Abbas Araghchi ）擔任伊朗外交部長的時候... ？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.