**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於瑪拉·羅查 47%
Marcio Bittar 32.1%
Gladson Camelí 13%
喬治·維安納 4.3%
$44,542 交易量
$44,542 交易量
2027-06-30
瑪拉·羅查
47%
Marcio Bittar
33%
Gladson Camelí
13%
喬治·維安納
4%
Petecão
1%
伊納西奧·莫雷拉教授
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
<1%
愛杜亞多·維羅索
<1%
瑪拉·羅查 47%
Marcio Bittar 32.1%
Gladson Camelí 13%
喬治·維安納 4.3%
$44,542 交易量
$44,542 交易量
2027-06-30
瑪拉·羅查
$17,613 交易量
47%
Marcio Bittar
$8,148 交易量
33%
Gladson Camelí
$13,335 交易量
13%
喬治·維安納
$1,344 交易量
4%
Petecão
$1,871 交易量
1%
伊納西奧·莫雷拉教授
$738 交易量
<1%
Dr. Junior Feitosa
$786 交易量
<1%
愛杜亞多·維羅索
$706 交易量
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.**
Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders.
Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET
交易量
$44,542結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ETThe Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.**
Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders.
Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Acre is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$44,542結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:48 AM ET**Recent polling from Real Time Big Data (conducted September 16–19, 2026) shows a fragmented field for Acre’s two Senate seats, with Gladson Cameli (PP) at 24% consolidated support, Márcio Bittar (PL) at 21%, and Mara Rocha (Republicanos) and Jorge Viana (PT) tied at 15% each.** Cameli leads in first-preference scenarios while Bittar often heads second-preference tallies, leaving the battle for second place highly competitive. Separate first- and second-vote breakdowns, technical ties within the 2-point margin of error, and overlapping name recognition among established figures sustain tight pricing across leading contenders. Voter choice of two candidates, ongoing coalition dynamics, and regional voting patterns in the state have prevented any single challenger from pulling ahead decisively. An upcoming Rede Amazônica Senate debate on September 25 offers a near-term opportunity for differentiation before the October 4 vote. Traders price the outcome as uncertain because small shifts in turnout or alliances could readily reorder the ranking for the second seat.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions