Recent Canadian CPI readings, including a 2.8% June 2026 print down from 3.2% in May amid easing gasoline prices, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual inflation rate near the 2.5–2.9% range, which currently carries the highest market-implied probability at 35.7%. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report highlights near-term upside from oil prices linked to Middle East developments, with headline inflation projected to ease toward the 2% target as core measures (median and trim) remain subdued around 1.8–2.1% and economic slack persists. Forecasts from institutions such as TD Economics and budget updates align with this path, pointing to an average near 2.5% for the year once energy volatility normalizes. Upcoming July CPI data and any further BoC communications on rate policy will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2.5–2.9% 36.0%
3.0-3.4% 15.6%
1.5–1.9% 14.5%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$38,286 交易量
$38,286 交易量
2027-01-18
低於1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
15%
2.0–2.4%
13%
2.5–2.9%
36%
3.0-3.4%
16%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%以上
6%
2.5–2.9% 36.0%
3.0-3.4% 15.6%
1.5–1.9% 14.5%
3.5-3.9% 13.1%
$38,286 交易量
$38,286 交易量
2027-01-18
低於1.0%
$1,081 交易量
3%
1.0–1.4%
$5,268 交易量
5%
1.5–1.9%
$3,350 交易量
15%
2.0–2.4%
$1,199 交易量
13%
2.5–2.9%
$9,623 交易量
36%
3.0-3.4%
$13,770 交易量
16%
3.5-3.9%
$3,511 交易量
13%
4.0%以上
$484 交易量
6%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Canadian CPI readings, including a 2.8% June 2026 print down from 3.2% in May amid easing gasoline prices, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual inflation rate near the 2.5–2.9% range, which currently carries the highest market-implied probability at 35.7%. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report highlights near-term upside from oil prices linked to Middle East developments, with headline inflation projected to ease toward the 2% target as core measures (median and trim) remain subdued around 1.8–2.1% and economic slack persists. Forecasts from institutions such as TD Economics and budget updates align with this path, pointing to an average near 2.5% for the year once energy volatility normalizes. Upcoming July CPI data and any further BoC communications on rate policy will likely refine these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
市場開放時間： Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
交易量
$38,286結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent Canadian CPI readings, including a 2.8% June 2026 print down from 3.2% in May amid easing gasoline prices, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual inflation rate near the 2.5–2.9% range, which currently carries the highest market-implied probability at 35.7%. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report highlights near-term upside from oil prices linked to Middle East developments, with headline inflation projected to ease toward the 2% target as core measures (median and trim) remain subdued around 1.8–2.1% and economic slack persists. Forecasts from institutions such as TD Economics and budget updates align with this path, pointing to an average near 2.5% for the year once energy volatility normalizes. Upcoming July CPI data and any further BoC communications on rate policy will likely refine these probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
交易量
$38,286結束日期
2027-01-18市場開放時間
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Canadian CPI readings, including a 2.8% June 2026 print down from 3.2% in May amid easing gasoline prices, have anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual inflation rate near the 2.5–2.9% range, which currently carries the highest market-implied probability at 35.7%. The Bank of Canada’s July Monetary Policy Report highlights near-term upside from oil prices linked to Middle East developments, with headline inflation projected to ease toward the 2% target as core measures (median and trim) remain subdued around 1.8–2.1% and economic slack persists. Forecasts from institutions such as TD Economics and budget updates align with this path, pointing to an average near 2.5% for the year once energy volatility normalizes. Upcoming July CPI data and any further BoC communications on rate policy will likely refine these probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions