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icon for 在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

icon for 在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......

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Polymarket

$1,792 交易量

Polymarket
icon for 6月30日

6月30日

$600 交易量

20%

icon for 8月30日

8月30日

$819 交易量

42%

icon for 10月31日

10月31日

$166 交易量

56%

icon for 12月31日

12月31日

$207 交易量

50%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$1,792
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.**Recent USDA-APHIS confirmations show New World screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) spreading beyond initial South Texas detections.** The first U.S. case since the 1960s was a calf in Zavala County on June 3, 2026, followed by additional livestock cases (cattle, goats, sheep) across Texas counties including La Salle and Gillespie. By mid-June, confirmed animal cases reached about 12, including in Lea County, New Mexico, with larvae infesting wounds in warm-blooded hosts. Official surveillance via trapping, quarantines in 20 km zones, and sterile insect technique releases aims to contain northward movement from Mexico outbreaks. Key upcoming factors include APHIS dashboard updates on new detections, model consensus on dispersal risk, and any revised case thresholds or geographic criteria that could influence market resolution. Trader sentiment reflects the pace of verified spread versus containment efficacy under active federal response.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$1,792
市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 10:17 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10月31日" at 56%, followed by "12月31日" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jun 9, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" is "10月31日" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "12月31日" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "在德克薩斯州以外的牲畜中確認了美國Screwworm病例......" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.