The redrawn boundaries of Florida’s 9th Congressional District have created a Republican-leaning seat that attracted a crowded primary field, with a late Victory Insights poll showing Thomas Chalifoux, Ben Butler, Jorge Martinez, and Dan Green statistically tied near the top and more than 40 percent of likely voters still undecided just days before the August 18 vote. Trader pricing on Polymarket closely tracks that polling spread, reflecting the absence of a clear frontrunner and limited name recognition across the candidates. Recent candidate forums, self-funding by Chalifoux, and an endorsement for Green have not yet produced decisive separation. Last-minute shifts in early voting turnout, additional endorsements, or final ad spending in the remaining days could consolidate support behind one contender and alter the outcome.