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政治·主要

FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者

喬·斯特拉達 75%

Carey Baker 22%

Tim Wilkins 6%

Ivette Palomo <1%

Polymarket

$19,799 交易量

喬·斯特拉達 75%

Carey Baker 22%

Tim Wilkins 6%

Ivette Palomo <1%

Polymarket

$19,799 交易量

喬·斯特拉達

$8,099 交易量

75%

Carey Baker

$5,082 交易量

22%

Tim Wilkins

$5,511 交易量

6%

Ivette Palomo

$573 交易量

<1%

Nizam Razack

$534 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Strada leads the FL-11 Republican primary market with a clear edge driven by his substantial self-funding exceeding $5 million, which has enabled heavy campaign spending ahead of the August 18 contest for the open seat. Recent campaign finance reports highlight Strada outpacing rivals including former state Senator Carey Baker, who holds Webster's endorsement as a potential successor but trails in resources. Strada has secured key endorsements from figures such as Attorney General James Uthmeier, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, and multiple sheriffs, reinforcing trader consensus on his position. Lower-priced candidates like Tim Wilkins, Ivette Palomo, and Nizam Razack show limited fundraising and visibility in the final days, while the crowded field underscores the importance of name recognition and organizational support in this Central Florida district primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$19,799
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Joe Strada leads the FL-11 Republican primary market with a clear edge driven by his substantial self-funding exceeding $5 million, which has enabled heavy campaign spending ahead of the August 18 contest for the open seat. Recent campaign finance reports highlight Strada outpacing rivals including former state Senator Carey Baker, who holds Webster's endorsement as a potential successor but trails in resources. Strada has secured key endorsements from figures such as Attorney General James Uthmeier, House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, and multiple sheriffs, reinforcing trader consensus on his position. Lower-priced candidates like Tim Wilkins, Ivette Palomo, and Nizam Razack show limited fundraising and visibility in the final days, while the crowded field underscores the importance of name recognition and organizational support in this Central Florida district primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$19,799
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "喬·斯特拉達" at 75%, followed by "Carey Baker" at 22%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 75¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $19.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" is "喬·斯特拉達" at 75%, meaning the market assigns a 75% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carey Baker" at 22%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-11共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.