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icon for FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者

FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者

FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者

Kevin Steele 56%

Mike Beltran 41%

Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%

Michael Marcel <1%

Polymarket

$23,680 交易量

Kevin Steele 56%

Mike Beltran 41%

Ergin "Batman" Tek <1%

Michael Marcel <1%

Polymarket

$23,680 交易量

Kevin Steele

$5,396 交易量

56%

Mike Beltran

$14,800 交易量

41%

Ergin "Batman" Tek

$688 交易量

<1%

Michael Marcel

$769 交易量

<1%

John Peters

$592 交易量

<1%

Robert "Rocky" Rochford

$574 交易量

<1%

Gavriel Soriano

$335 交易量

<1%

Bea Valenti

$525 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Florida's 14th congressional district Republican primary on August 18 features a crowded field of candidates vying for the nomination in a district redrawn to favor the GOP. Kevin Steele, a Pasco County state representative with endorsements from Florida's elected cabinet officers and significant self-funding for television ads, holds a modest edge in trader consensus. Mike Beltran, a former Hillsborough County state representative who is also self-funding, remains competitive, as shown in a recent leaked internal poll. Multiple lesser-known entrants, including Bea Valenti and Robert Rochford, contribute to vote fragmentation in the absence of a dominant frontrunner. The tight positioning reflects limited public polling, overlapping donor and endorsement networks, and uncertainty over turnout among different Republican factions ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$23,680
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Florida's 14th congressional district Republican primary on August 18 features a crowded field of candidates vying for the nomination in a district redrawn to favor the GOP. Kevin Steele, a Pasco County state representative with endorsements from Florida's elected cabinet officers and significant self-funding for television ads, holds a modest edge in trader consensus. Mike Beltran, a former Hillsborough County state representative who is also self-funding, remains competitive, as shown in a recent leaked internal poll. Multiple lesser-known entrants, including Bea Valenti and Robert Rochford, contribute to vote fragmentation in the absence of a dominant frontrunner. The tight positioning reflects limited public polling, overlapping donor and endorsement networks, and uncertainty over turnout among different Republican factions ahead of the vote.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$23,680
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Jul 23, 2026, 3:27 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kevin Steele" at 56%, followed by "Mike Beltran" at 41%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 56¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $23.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 23, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Kevin Steele" at 56%, meaning the market assigns a 56% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mike Beltran" at 41%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-14共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.