Sanford Bishop's commanding position in the GA-02 House race stems from his long incumbency in a southwest Georgia district that has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including double-digit victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic under current maps, with Bishop's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary reinforcing trader consensus. Matt Day, the Republican nominee, remains underfunded and faces structural headwinds in the existing boundaries. Redistricting discussions for 2028 do not affect this November's contest. Late-breaking developments such as health events, major scandals, or unexpected legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,172 交易量
$23,172 交易量
2026-11-02
桑福德·畢曉普（民主黨）
93%
馬特·戴（共和黨）
6%
$23,172 交易量
$23,172 交易量
2026-11-02
桑福德·畢曉普（民主黨）
$10,513 交易量
93%
馬特·戴（共和黨）
$12,659 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sanford Bishop's commanding position in the GA-02 House race stems from his long incumbency in a southwest Georgia district that has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including double-digit victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic under current maps, with Bishop's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary reinforcing trader consensus. Matt Day, the Republican nominee, remains underfunded and faces structural headwinds in the existing boundaries. Redistricting discussions for 2028 do not affect this November's contest. Late-breaking developments such as health events, major scandals, or unexpected legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
交易量
$23,172結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Sanford Bishop's commanding position in the GA-02 House race stems from his long incumbency in a southwest Georgia district that has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including double-digit victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic under current maps, with Bishop's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary reinforcing trader consensus. Matt Day, the Republican nominee, remains underfunded and faces structural headwinds in the existing boundaries. Redistricting discussions for 2028 do not affect this November's contest. Late-breaking developments such as health events, major scandals, or unexpected legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$23,172結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETSanford Bishop's commanding position in the GA-02 House race stems from his long incumbency in a southwest Georgia district that has delivered consistent Democratic margins in recent cycles, including double-digit victories in 2022 and 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic under current maps, with Bishop's substantial fundraising edge and unopposed primary reinforcing trader consensus. Matt Day, the Republican nominee, remains underfunded and faces structural headwinds in the existing boundaries. Redistricting discussions for 2028 do not affect this November's contest. Late-breaking developments such as health events, major scandals, or unexpected legal issues involving either candidate represent the primary scenarios that could still shift implied probabilities before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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