Skip to main content
icon for 幾內亞比索總統選舉

幾內亞比索總統選舉

icon for 幾內亞比索總統選舉

幾內亞比索總統選舉

烏馬羅·西索科·恩巴洛 25.1%

Siga Batista 6.6%

費爾南多·迪亞斯·達·科斯塔 3.1%

巴西羅·賈 2.8%

Polymarket

$336,982 交易量

烏馬羅·西索科·恩巴洛 25.1%

Siga Batista 6.6%

費爾南多·迪亞斯·達·科斯塔 3.1%

巴西羅·賈 2.8%

Polymarket

$336,982 交易量

烏馬羅·西索科·恩巴洛

$90,589 交易量

15%

Siga Batista

$24,522 交易量

7%

費爾南多·迪亞斯·達·科斯塔

$57,725 交易量

16%

巴西羅·賈

$14,532 交易量

3%

若澤·馬里奧·瓦斯

$22,281 交易量

3%

若昂·德·德烏斯·門德斯

$17,755 交易量

3%

奧諾里奧·奧古斯托·洛佩斯

$18,784 交易量

3%

馬馬杜·伊亞·賈洛

$19,952 交易量

2%

Gabriel Fernando Indi

$19,458 交易量

2%

若昂·貝爾納多·維埃拉

$16,799 交易量

2%

Mário da Silva Júnior

$18,350 交易量

2%

赫庫拉諾·阿曼多·貝金薩

$16,236 交易量

1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The fragmented candidate field and lingering uncertainties from the November 2025 coup continue to keep the December 2026 presidential race tightly contested among traders. Fernando Dias da Costa and former incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló lead narrowly, reflecting their positions as the primary opposition and establishment figures ahead of the vote. Multiple lower-polling contenders further split support, while the transitional military authorities' moves on candidate eligibility, inclusive government offers, and ECOWAS engagement introduce variables that could shift alignments. Historical patterns of instability and delayed results amplify caution, with any confirmation of participation rules or coalition signals likely to widen gaps in implied probabilities before election day.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$336,982
結束日期
2025-11-23
市場開放時間
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The fragmented candidate field and lingering uncertainties from the November 2025 coup continue to keep the December 2026 presidential race tightly contested among traders. Fernando Dias da Costa and former incumbent Umaro Sissoco Embaló lead narrowly, reflecting their positions as the primary opposition and establishment figures ahead of the vote. Multiple lower-polling contenders further split support, while the transitional military authorities' moves on candidate eligibility, inclusive government offers, and ECOWAS engagement introduce variables that could shift alignments. Historical patterns of instability and delayed results amplify caution, with any confirmation of participation rules or coalition signals likely to widen gaps in implied probabilities before election day.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$336,982
結束日期
2025-11-23
市場開放時間
Nov 6, 2025, 6:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. If no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round, a second round will be held on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

相關

icon for 平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」會在2025年幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？

平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」會在2025年幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉中贏得最多席位嗎？

31%
是
icon for 若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯會贏得佛得角總統選舉嗎？

若澤·瑪麗亞·內韋斯會贏得佛得角總統選舉嗎？

79%
是
icon for 弗拉維奧·波索納羅會在2026年巴西總統大選首輪中獲得第二名嗎？

弗拉維奧·波索納羅會在2026年巴西總統大選首輪中獲得第二名嗎？

86%
是

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"幾內亞比索總統選舉" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "費爾南多·迪亞斯·達·科斯塔" at 16%, followed by "烏馬羅·西索科·恩巴洛" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "幾內亞比索總統選舉" has generated $337K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 6, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "幾內亞比索總統選舉," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "幾內亞比索總統選舉" is "費爾南多·迪亞斯·達·科斯塔" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "烏馬羅·西索科·恩巴洛" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "幾內亞比索總統選舉" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.