Current meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 交易量
$65,355 交易量
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 交易量
$65,355 交易量
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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