The closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21°C或更高
3%
18°C 27%
17°C 20%
19°C 20%
16°C 16%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
20%
18°C
27%
19°C
20%
20°C
7%
21°C或更高
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 17, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The closely matched leading probabilities for 18°C and 19°C reflect substantial uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Buenos Aires on May 19, as global models such as ECMWF and GFS continue to show daily highs oscillating within a narrow 2–3°C band amid typical autumn transition patterns. A transient high-pressure ridge has recently suppressed cloud cover and allowed modest daytime warming, while variable southeasterly flow from the Río de la Plata may introduce marine influence that caps the peak. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and updated model runs expected over the next 48 hours will likely tighten the range, with resolution hinging on whether observed maximum temperatures reach the 19°C threshold under prevailing clear-sky conditions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions