Post-frontal subsidence and northerly flow are driving the market's concentration on 26–28°C as the likely maximum for Cape Town on August 13, allowing seasonal warming after a recent cold front passage. South African forecast models show consensus around this range, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability due to expected clear conditions and insolation. Differentiation among the closely matched leading outcomes centers on residual cool advection from the front, lingering low-level moisture, and any afternoon cloud development that could limit daytime heating. Historical August averages near 18°C underscore the unusual warmth, while model spread on boundary-layer details keeps 26°C and 28°C viable alternatives until final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於開普敦8月13日的最高溫度?
27°C 36%
28°C 29%
26°C 17%
29°C 15%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
29%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
27°C 36%
28°C 29%
26°C 17%
29°C 15%
21°C或以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
17%
27°C
36%
28°C
29%
29°C
15%
30°C
1%
31°C或以上
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Post-frontal subsidence and northerly flow are driving the market's concentration on 26–28°C as the likely maximum for Cape Town on August 13, allowing seasonal warming after a recent cold front passage. South African forecast models show consensus around this range, with 27°C holding the highest implied probability due to expected clear conditions and insolation. Differentiation among the closely matched leading outcomes centers on residual cool advection from the front, lingering low-level moisture, and any afternoon cloud development that could limit daytime heating. Historical August averages near 18°C underscore the unusual warmth, while model spread on boundary-layer details keeps 26°C and 28°C viable alternatives until final observational data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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