Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, point to a September 2 maximum near 18–19 °C in Cape Town under southerly flow, moderate humidity around 60–70 %, and partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This positioning explains the tight market split between 19 °C (43.5 %) and 20 °C (37.5 %), as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or brief clearing could add or subtract 1 °C. Historical early-September averages near 17–19 °C provide context, while the absence of strong onshore or frontal systems keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日開普敦最高溫度？
9月2日開普敦最高溫度？
19°C 44%
20°C 38%
18°C 12%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
15°C或以下
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
3%
18°C
12%
19°C
44%
20°C
38%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C或以上
<1%
19°C 44%
20°C 38%
18°C 12%
21°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
15°C或以下
$107 交易量
1%
16°C
$50 交易量
2%
17°C
$71 交易量
3%
18°C
$69 交易量
12%
19°C
$149 交易量
44%
20°C
$120 交易量
38%
21°C
$192 交易量
7%
22°C
$62 交易量
3%
23°C
$106 交易量
<1%
24°C
$211 交易量
<1%
25°C或以上
$406 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, point to a September 2 maximum near 18–19 °C in Cape Town under southerly flow, moderate humidity around 60–70 %, and partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This positioning explains the tight market split between 19 °C (43.5 %) and 20 °C (37.5 %), as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or brief clearing could add or subtract 1 °C. Historical early-September averages near 17–19 °C provide context, while the absence of strong onshore or frontal systems keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$1,543結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, point to a September 2 maximum near 18–19 °C in Cape Town under southerly flow, moderate humidity around 60–70 %, and partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This positioning explains the tight market split between 19 °C (43.5 %) and 20 °C (37.5 %), as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or brief clearing could add or subtract 1 °C. Historical early-September averages near 17–19 °C provide context, while the absence of strong onshore or frontal systems keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of the next model cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,543結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from models including ECMWF and GFS, aligned with South African Weather Service guidance, point to a September 2 maximum near 18–19 °C in Cape Town under southerly flow, moderate humidity around 60–70 %, and partly cloudy skies that limit peak insolation. This positioning explains the tight market split between 19 °C (43.5 %) and 20 °C (37.5 %), as small differences in boundary-layer mixing or brief clearing could add or subtract 1 °C. Historical early-September averages near 17–19 °C provide context, while the absence of strong onshore or frontal systems keeps probabilities concentrated in this narrow band ahead of the next model cycle.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions