Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 2 will reach 9°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and clear skies allowing efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures declining steadily from 14°C in the evening toward single digits by early morning, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region where September lows average 11–12°C but can dip lower under calm, dry conditions. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus around these model outputs and official station data. Unexpected shifts in wind patterns or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum, while a sharper cold-air advection would be needed to push it notably below 9°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日開普敦最低溫度？
9月2日開普敦最低溫度？
9°C 99.9%
6°C or below 18%
7°C 18.0%
8°C <1%
$1,767 交易量
$1,767 交易量
2026-09-02
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
Yes
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
9°C 99.9%
6°C or below 18%
7°C 18.0%
8°C <1%
$1,767 交易量
$1,767 交易量
2026-09-02
6°C or below
$22 交易量
No
7°C
$385 交易量
No
8°C
$463 交易量
No
9°C
$532 交易量
Yes
10°C
$110 交易量
No
11°C
$80 交易量
No
12°C
$50 交易量
No
13°C
$50 交易量
No
14°C
$35 交易量
No
15°C
$20 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$20 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 2 will reach 9°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and clear skies allowing efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures declining steadily from 14°C in the evening toward single digits by early morning, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region where September lows average 11–12°C but can dip lower under calm, dry conditions. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus around these model outputs and official station data. Unexpected shifts in wind patterns or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum, while a sharper cold-air advection would be needed to push it notably below 9°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$1,767結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 2 will reach 9°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and clear skies allowing efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures declining steadily from 14°C in the evening toward single digits by early morning, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region where September lows average 11–12°C but can dip lower under calm, dry conditions. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus around these model outputs and official station data. Unexpected shifts in wind patterns or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum, while a sharper cold-air advection would be needed to push it notably below 9°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,767結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate Cape Town's overnight minimum on September 2 will reach 9°C under stable high-pressure conditions with light southerly winds and clear skies allowing efficient radiational cooling after daytime highs near 17–18°C. This aligns with current observations showing temperatures declining steadily from 14°C in the evening toward single digits by early morning, consistent with typical early-spring climatology for the region where September lows average 11–12°C but can dip lower under calm, dry conditions. Market-implied odds reflect strong trader consensus around these model outputs and official station data. Unexpected shifts in wind patterns or increased cloud cover could raise the minimum, while a sharper cold-air advection would be needed to push it notably below 9°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions