Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–89°F) under sunny skies with moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C (67.5%) or 29°C (31.5%). This positioning reflects traders weighting official Turkish meteorological measurements at standard stations, which often run slightly cooler than broad regional models, alongside typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28–29°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous high-pressure system has emerged in recent model runs to push probabilities toward 30°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 2%. Updated afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast adjustments from regional agencies remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
8月12日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度？
28°C 66%
29°C 32%
30°C 1.4%
31°C <1%
$25,803 交易量
$25,803 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
66%
29°C
32%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 66%
29°C 32%
30°C 1.4%
31°C <1%
$25,803 交易量
$25,803 交易量
2026-08-12
23°C or below
$379 交易量
<1%
24°C
$434 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,652 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,793 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,290 交易量
<1%
28°C
$5,279 交易量
66%
29°C
$3,203 交易量
32%
30°C
$1,705 交易量
1%
31°C
$2,122 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,136 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,810 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–89°F) under sunny skies with moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C (67.5%) or 29°C (31.5%). This positioning reflects traders weighting official Turkish meteorological measurements at standard stations, which often run slightly cooler than broad regional models, alongside typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28–29°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous high-pressure system has emerged in recent model runs to push probabilities toward 30°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 2%. Updated afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast adjustments from regional agencies remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$25,803結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–89°F) under sunny skies with moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C (67.5%) or 29°C (31.5%). This positioning reflects traders weighting official Turkish meteorological measurements at standard stations, which often run slightly cooler than broad regional models, alongside typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28–29°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous high-pressure system has emerged in recent model runs to push probabilities toward 30°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 2%. Updated afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast adjustments from regional agencies remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$25,803結束日期
2026-08-12市場開放時間
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate.com indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–89°F) under sunny skies with moderate northeast winds, yet market-implied odds heavily favor 28°C (67.5%) or 29°C (31.5%). This positioning reflects traders weighting official Turkish meteorological measurements at standard stations, which often run slightly cooler than broad regional models, alongside typical mid-August Mediterranean climatology where average highs hover around 28–29°C. No significant heatwave or anomalous high-pressure system has emerged in recent model runs to push probabilities toward 30°C or above, keeping those outcomes below 2%. Updated afternoon observations and any last-minute forecast adjustments from regional agencies remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions