Recent atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast runs from Indonesia’s Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) have placed the 33–34 °C range at the center of trader focus for Jakarta’s May 18 maximum. Mid-May climatology under ENSO-neutral conditions favors daily highs near the historical median of 33–35 °C at Halim Perdanakusuma station, with traders weighing small differences in peak solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat-island effect. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet single-degree resolution hinges on afternoon cloud development and local wind patterns, both of which remain within typical seasonal envelopes. The market’s near-even split between the top two outcomes reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the official 24-hour maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日雅加達的最高溫度?
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
32°C 14%
35°C 7%
$15,567 交易量
$15,567 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
37%
34°C
42%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 37%
32°C 14%
35°C 7%
$15,567 交易量
$15,567 交易量
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
14%
33°C
37%
34°C
42%
35°C
7%
36°C
2%
37°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent atmospheric conditions and the latest forecast runs from Indonesia’s Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) have placed the 33–34 °C range at the center of trader focus for Jakarta’s May 18 maximum. Mid-May climatology under ENSO-neutral conditions favors daily highs near the historical median of 33–35 °C at Halim Perdanakusuma station, with traders weighing small differences in peak solar insolation, boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds that can either enhance or suppress the urban heat-island effect. Model consensus shows limited day-to-day variability, yet single-degree resolution hinges on afternoon cloud development and local wind patterns, both of which remain within typical seasonal envelopes. The market’s near-even split between the top two outcomes reflects this genuine forecast uncertainty ahead of the official 24-hour maximum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions