Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,512 交易量
$35,512 交易量
2026-05-14
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$35,512 交易量
$35,512 交易量
2026-05-14
26°C or below
$831 交易量
No
27°C
$901 交易量
No
28°C
$786 交易量
No
29°C
$1,923 交易量
No
30°C
$1,285 交易量
No
31°C
$5,768 交易量
No
32°C
$4,540 交易量
No
33°C
$3,108 交易量
No
34°C
$4,259 交易量
No
35°C
$7,170 交易量
Yes
36°C or higher
$4,941 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$35,512結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$35,512結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a near-certain 100% implied probability to a 35°C high temperature in Kuala Lumpur on May 14, driven by real-time observations from stations like Subang Airport confirming a mid-afternoon peak of 35°C (95°F) under clear skies and passing clouds, aligning with MetMalaysia's forecast of no rain and a 34–35°C maximum range for the district. This reflects the equatorial city's tropical climate dynamics, where May's dry season—characterized by high solar insolation, low humidity around 50–60%, and weak winds—routinely pushes highs to 32–35°C, with historical May averages near 33°C occasionally exceeded on rain-free days. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon convective burst delaying thunderstorms and enabling a 36°C spike before sunset, or post hoc data revisions from official monitors, though model ensembles and diurnal cooling trends make these low-likelihood events. Resolution hinges on final daily maximum from Malaysian Meteorological Department records.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions