Official Met Office observations from London City Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome as the market resolves. This positioning stems from a cool northerly airflow ushering in an unstable air mass with frequent showers, hail, and brisk winds that capped daytime highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C at the station. Forecast models from the UK Met Office had anticipated these conditions 24–48 hours prior, aligning with observed cloud cover and precipitation suppressing solar heating. While post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare for verified station measurements, a hypothetical audit revealing sensor malfunction or quality-control anomaly could prompt reevaluation, though historical precedents show such events occur in under 0.1% of cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on May 14?
Highest temperature in London on May 14?
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$335,547 交易量
$335,547 交易量
2026-05-14
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
Yes
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
12°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$335,547 交易量
$335,547 交易量
2026-05-14
7°C or below
$5,152 交易量
No
8°C
$4,016 交易量
No
9°C
$26,560 交易量
No
10°C
$49,827 交易量
No
11°C
$76,868 交易量
No
12°C
$42,293 交易量
Yes
13°C
$45,784 交易量
No
14°C
$28,363 交易量
No
15°C
$29,598 交易量
No
16°C
$14,538 交易量
No
17°C or higher
$12,547 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London City Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome as the market resolves. This positioning stems from a cool northerly airflow ushering in an unstable air mass with frequent showers, hail, and brisk winds that capped daytime highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C at the station. Forecast models from the UK Met Office had anticipated these conditions 24–48 hours prior, aligning with observed cloud cover and precipitation suppressing solar heating. While post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare for verified station measurements, a hypothetical audit revealing sensor malfunction or quality-control anomaly could prompt reevaluation, though historical precedents show such events occur in under 0.1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$335,547結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from London City Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome as the market resolves. This positioning stems from a cool northerly airflow ushering in an unstable air mass with frequent showers, hail, and brisk winds that capped daytime highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C at the station. Forecast models from the UK Met Office had anticipated these conditions 24–48 hours prior, aligning with observed cloud cover and precipitation suppressing solar heating. While post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare for verified station measurements, a hypothetical audit revealing sensor malfunction or quality-control anomaly could prompt reevaluation, though historical precedents show such events occur in under 0.1% of cases.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$335,547結束日期
2026-05-14市場開放時間
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official Met Office observations from London City Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 14 reached exactly 12°C, driving trader consensus to 100% on that outcome as the market resolves. This positioning stems from a cool northerly airflow ushering in an unstable air mass with frequent showers, hail, and brisk winds that capped daytime highs well below the mid-May climatological average of 17–18°C at the station. Forecast models from the UK Met Office had anticipated these conditions 24–48 hours prior, aligning with observed cloud cover and precipitation suppressing solar heating. While post-resolution data revisions are exceedingly rare for verified station measurements, a hypothetical audit revealing sensor malfunction or quality-control anomaly could prompt reevaluation, though historical precedents show such events occur in under 0.1% of cases.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions