India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 15?
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,820 交易量
$38,820 交易量
2026-05-15
41°C or below
Yes
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C
No
50°C
No
51°C or higher
No
41°C or below 100.0%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$38,820 交易量
$38,820 交易量
2026-05-15
41°C or below
$6,238 交易量
Yes
42°C
$8,395 交易量
No
43°C
$6,794 交易量
No
44°C
$3,636 交易量
No
45°C
$3,396 交易量
No
46°C
$3,172 交易量
No
47°C
$2,641 交易量
No
48°C
$2,233 交易量
No
49°C
$654 交易量
No
50°C
$779 交易量
No
51°C or higher
$882 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$38,820結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$38,820結束日期
2026-05-15市場開放時間
May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提議結果: Yes
無爭議
最終結果: Yes
India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 38–40 °C today under mainly dry conditions and light winds, driving the market’s near-100 % consensus on a high of 41 °C or below. This outlook aligns with recent model guidance showing modest cooling from lingering moisture associated with a passing western disturbance, which has suppressed peak heating across the Ganges plain. While mid-May climatology typically features highs near 41–43 °C, the current atmospheric setup favors values at the lower end of that range. Traders appear confident the official observatory reading will remain within the leading bracket, though any late-day clearing or stronger insolation could push readings marginally higher and test the 0.1 % priced outcomes above 41 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions