Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
5月19日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
42°C or below 81%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
42°C or below
81%
43°C
11%
44°C
5%
45°C
1%
46°C
1%
47°C
1%
48°C
1%
49°C
1%
50°C
<1%
51°C
1%
52°C or higher
<1%
42°C or below 81%
43°C 11%
44°C 5%
45°C 1.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-19
42°C or below
$124 交易量
81%
43°C
$74 交易量
11%
44°C
$62 交易量
5%
45°C
$261 交易量
1%
46°C
$156 交易量
1%
47°C
$149 交易量
1%
48°C
$155 交易量
1%
49°C
$132 交易量
1%
50°C
$136 交易量
<1%
51°C
$140 交易量
1%
52°C or higher
$228 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,567結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,567結束日期
2026-05-19市場開放時間
May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent India Meteorological Department forecasts for Lucknow project a maximum temperature near 40–42°C on May 19 under typical pre-monsoon conditions across the Indo-Gangetic Plain, with strong solar heating, low humidity, and limited cloud cover supporting daytime warming. This aligns with the city’s climatological May average of 38–42°C and helps explain the dominant 72.5% market-implied probability for 42°C or below. Model consensus remains stable in the near term, though minor shifts in steering patterns or brief convective activity could alter the exact high. Traders are monitoring the next IMD update and regional satellite observations for any rapid changes ahead of the May 19 resolution window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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