Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, combined with AEMET guidance, point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 13 centered near 34–35 °C under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow that favors clear skies and daytime radiative heating. This positioning reflects the current 850 hPa temperature anomalies and limited cloud cover expected during the diurnal maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local wind shifts, and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which can alter surface energy balance by 1–2 °C. Historical June maxima in Madrid average near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and official 48-hour updates, as even modest adjustments in subsidence or advection could shift the most probable bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 13?
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 13%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
12%
34°C
41%
35°C
37%
36°C
13%
37°C or higher
3%
34°C 41%
35°C 37%
36°C 13%
33°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
27°C或以下
$216 交易量
<1%
28°C
$16 交易量
<1%
29°C
$116 交易量
<1%
30°C
$16 交易量
<1%
31°C
$16 交易量
1%
32°C
$36 交易量
4%
33°C
$83 交易量
12%
34°C
$145 交易量
41%
35°C
$245 交易量
37%
36°C
$73 交易量
13%
37°C or higher
$36 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, combined with AEMET guidance, point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 13 centered near 34–35 °C under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow that favors clear skies and daytime radiative heating. This positioning reflects the current 850 hPa temperature anomalies and limited cloud cover expected during the diurnal maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local wind shifts, and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which can alter surface energy balance by 1–2 °C. Historical June maxima in Madrid average near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and official 48-hour updates, as even modest adjustments in subsidence or advection could shift the most probable bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$999結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, combined with AEMET guidance, point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 13 centered near 34–35 °C under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow that favors clear skies and daytime radiative heating. This positioning reflects the current 850 hPa temperature anomalies and limited cloud cover expected during the diurnal maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local wind shifts, and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which can alter surface energy balance by 1–2 °C. Historical June maxima in Madrid average near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and official 48-hour updates, as even modest adjustments in subsidence or advection could shift the most probable bin.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$999結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, combined with AEMET guidance, point to a peak temperature in Madrid on June 13 centered near 34–35 °C under strengthening high pressure and southerly flow that favors clear skies and daytime radiative heating. This positioning reflects the current 850 hPa temperature anomalies and limited cloud cover expected during the diurnal maximum. Small differences among leading outcomes arise from uncertainties in boundary-layer mixing, local wind shifts, and exact timing of any thin high clouds, which can alter surface energy balance by 1–2 °C. Historical June maxima in Madrid average near 30 °C, so the current setup represents a modest warm anomaly. Traders are closely watching the next model cycles and official 48-hour updates, as even modest adjustments in subsidence or advection could shift the most probable bin.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions