The market's 100% consensus on a 92-93°F high for Miami on August 15 reflects the official maximum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. This outcome aligns with mid-August subtropical climatology, where peak daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies and typical dew points near 75°F routinely produce highs in that narrow band. Ensemble model guidance from NOAA in the preceding days showed strong agreement around these values, with no tropical moisture surges or cold fronts to suppress temperatures. While the skin-in-the-game positioning indicates near-certainty once observations were finalized, rare post-event data revisions or station instrumentation issues could still shift resolution in principle, though such occurrences remain exceptionally uncommon for this well-monitored site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月15日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 100.0%
$55,473 交易量
$55,473 交易量
92-93°F
100%
92-93°F 100.0%
$55,473 交易量
$55,473 交易量
92-93°F
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market's 100% consensus on a 92-93°F high for Miami on August 15 reflects the official maximum recorded at Miami International Airport by the National Weather Service. This outcome aligns with mid-August subtropical climatology, where peak daytime heating under clear to partly cloudy skies and typical dew points near 75°F routinely produce highs in that narrow band. Ensemble model guidance from NOAA in the preceding days showed strong agreement around these values, with no tropical moisture surges or cold fronts to suppress temperatures. While the skin-in-the-game positioning indicates near-certainty once observations were finalized, rare post-event data revisions or station instrumentation issues could still shift resolution in principle, though such occurrences remain exceptionally uncommon for this well-monitored site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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