Forecast models from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a peak of 34–35 °C in Milan on August 12 under clear, sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (69.5 %) and 36 °C (20.5 %), as traders incorporate official guidance showing temperatures modestly above the month’s 28–31 °C climatological average. Stable high pressure and warm advection from the south have sustained the warm anomaly, while small model spread around the exact maximum keeps limited probability on 34 °C and lower outcomes. Updated short-range runs and real-time observations near resolution time remain the key variables that could shift final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月12日米蘭的最高溫度?
35°C 72%
36°C 18%
34°C 6%
37°C 1.9%
$36,030 交易量
$36,030 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
6%
35°C
72%
36°C
18%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 72%
36°C 18%
34°C 6%
37°C 1.9%
$36,030 交易量
$36,030 交易量
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
6%
35°C
72%
36°C
18%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources such as the Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a peak of 34–35 °C in Milan on August 12 under clear, sunny skies with light southwesterly winds and minimal cloud cover, allowing strong daytime heating in the Po Valley. These conditions align with the market’s heavy weighting toward 35 °C (69.5 %) and 36 °C (20.5 %), as traders incorporate official guidance showing temperatures modestly above the month’s 28–31 °C climatological average. Stable high pressure and warm advection from the south have sustained the warm anomaly, while small model spread around the exact maximum keeps limited probability on 34 °C and lower outcomes. Updated short-range runs and real-time observations near resolution time remain the key variables that could shift final settlement.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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