Current meteorological forecasts from major European and global models project a daytime high of exactly 16°C across central Paris on May 16, supported by a stable cool northwesterly airflow and persistent cloud cover that suppresses solar heating. This positions the outcome well below mid-May climatological averages near 18–20°C while matching recent observational trends of temperatures holding in the mid-teens amid unsettled spring patterns. Trader consensus near 100% for 16°C reflects strong model agreement and real-time data from French meteorological services. Brief unexpected clearing or localized urban heat-island effects could still nudge the peak marginally higher, though significant revisions appear improbable given the entrenched air mass.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日巴黎最高溫度?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,226 交易量
$155,226 交易量
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$155,226 交易量
$155,226 交易量
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current meteorological forecasts from major European and global models project a daytime high of exactly 16°C across central Paris on May 16, supported by a stable cool northwesterly airflow and persistent cloud cover that suppresses solar heating. This positions the outcome well below mid-May climatological averages near 18–20°C while matching recent observational trends of temperatures holding in the mid-teens amid unsettled spring patterns. Trader consensus near 100% for 16°C reflects strong model agreement and real-time data from French meteorological services. Brief unexpected clearing or localized urban heat-island effects could still nudge the peak marginally higher, though significant revisions appear improbable given the entrenched air mass.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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