Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea continues to anchor daytime highs near seasonal norms, with the closely matched 31% and 30% market-implied probabilities for 21°C and 20°C reflecting model consensus for a mild May 18 maximum. Regional forecasts show light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that typically allow the official China Meteorological Administration station to reach 20–21°C without crossing into stronger warming regimes. Historical mid-May observations place average daily maxima at 20.7°C, and current sea-surface temperatures remain cool enough to suppress any rapid inland heat buildup. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow gap between these two bins against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the recorded peak by 1°C either way before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日青島氣溫最高？
5月18日青島氣溫最高？
21°C 34%
20°C 29%
19°C 13%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
13%
20°C
29%
21°C
30%
22°C
13%
23°C
5%
24°C或以上
1%
21°C 34%
20°C 29%
19°C 13%
22°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
14°C或以下
$1,240 交易量
<1%
15°C
$627 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,283 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,090 交易量
<1%
18°C
$1,362 交易量
<1%
19°C
$500 交易量
13%
20°C
$263 交易量
29%
21°C
$303 交易量
30%
22°C
$211 交易量
13%
23°C
$105 交易量
5%
24°C或以上
$440 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea continues to anchor daytime highs near seasonal norms, with the closely matched 31% and 30% market-implied probabilities for 21°C and 20°C reflecting model consensus for a mild May 18 maximum. Regional forecasts show light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that typically allow the official China Meteorological Administration station to reach 20–21°C without crossing into stronger warming regimes. Historical mid-May observations place average daily maxima at 20.7°C, and current sea-surface temperatures remain cool enough to suppress any rapid inland heat buildup. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow gap between these two bins against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the recorded peak by 1°C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$8,423結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Qingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea continues to anchor daytime highs near seasonal norms, with the closely matched 31% and 30% market-implied probabilities for 21°C and 20°C reflecting model consensus for a mild May 18 maximum. Regional forecasts show light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that typically allow the official China Meteorological Administration station to reach 20–21°C without crossing into stronger warming regimes. Historical mid-May observations place average daily maxima at 20.7°C, and current sea-surface temperatures remain cool enough to suppress any rapid inland heat buildup. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow gap between these two bins against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the recorded peak by 1°C either way before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,423結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETQingdao’s coastal position on the Yellow Sea continues to anchor daytime highs near seasonal norms, with the closely matched 31% and 30% market-implied probabilities for 21°C and 20°C reflecting model consensus for a mild May 18 maximum. Regional forecasts show light southerly flow and limited cloud cover that typically allow the official China Meteorological Administration station to reach 20–21°C without crossing into stronger warming regimes. Historical mid-May observations place average daily maxima at 20.7°C, and current sea-surface temperatures remain cool enough to suppress any rapid inland heat buildup. Traders appear to be weighting the narrow gap between these two bins against minor uncertainties in afternoon mixing and boundary-layer moisture, which could shift the recorded peak by 1°C either way before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions