Current atmospheric conditions over southeastern Brazil, including a stable high-pressure system and reduced moisture advection from the Atlantic, are driving daytime maximum temperatures in São Paulo toward 22°C on May 17, aligning with the market-implied consensus. This outcome matches long-term climatological averages for mid-autumn, when regional temperatures typically range from 17–23°C under clear skies and light winds, with no significant warm-air intrusion or urban heat-island amplification evident in recent National Institute of Meteorology observations. Model consensus from global ensembles reinforces limited diurnal heating potential through the afternoon. A rapid shift in steering winds or localized convective warming could push readings above 23°C, though such deviations remain statistically uncommon this late in the season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日聖保羅的最高溫度?
$61,968 交易量
$61,968 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
$61,968 交易量
$61,968 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current atmospheric conditions over southeastern Brazil, including a stable high-pressure system and reduced moisture advection from the Atlantic, are driving daytime maximum temperatures in São Paulo toward 22°C on May 17, aligning with the market-implied consensus. This outcome matches long-term climatological averages for mid-autumn, when regional temperatures typically range from 17–23°C under clear skies and light winds, with no significant warm-air intrusion or urban heat-island amplification evident in recent National Institute of Meteorology observations. Model consensus from global ensembles reinforces limited diurnal heating potential through the afternoon. A rapid shift in steering winds or localized convective warming could push readings above 23°C, though such deviations remain statistically uncommon this late in the season.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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