Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Global Forecast System and China Meteorological Administration converge on a peak temperature near 29°C for Shenzhen on May 19, supported by a weakening high-pressure ridge over Guangdong that permits moderate solar heating while subtropical monsoon humidity and scattered afternoon convection limit further warming. This positioning matches mid-May climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where historical daily maxima cluster between 28°C and 30°C depending on cloud cover and maritime inflow from the South China Sea. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes against the risk of brief clearing that could add 1°C or lingering showers that suppress the high by a similar margin, with final hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport serving as the resolution source.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月19日深圳最高溫度?
28°C 29%
29°C 27%
30°C 19%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
28°C 29%
29°C 27%
30°C 19%
31°C 14%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
29%
29°C
27%
30°C
19%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 17, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the Global Forecast System and China Meteorological Administration converge on a peak temperature near 29°C for Shenzhen on May 19, supported by a weakening high-pressure ridge over Guangdong that permits moderate solar heating while subtropical monsoon humidity and scattered afternoon convection limit further warming. This positioning matches mid-May climatology for the Pearl River Delta, where historical daily maxima cluster between 28°C and 30°C depending on cloud cover and maritime inflow from the South China Sea. Traders appear to weigh the tight spread between 28°C and 30°C outcomes against the risk of brief clearing that could add 1°C or lingering showers that suppress the high by a similar margin, with final hourly observations from Shenzhen Bao’an International Airport serving as the resolution source.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions