**Recent model consensus and post-frontal cooling position Warsaw’s June 13 maximum most likely between 19–21 °C.** A sharp temperature drop on June 10, driven by a low-pressure system, rain, and cold-air advection, has left cooler maritime air in place with continued westerly flow and cloud cover expected through mid-week. BBC and other guidance show highs near 19–20 °C for the 13th amid possible showers or drizzle that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs cluster tightly around this range, producing the near-even market split (19 °C at 32 %, 20 °C at 30.5 %, 21 °C at 22 %). Differentiating factors include exact timing and coverage of convective activity, which can suppress maxima by 1–2 °C on any given run, versus partial clearing that would allow slightly warmer readings. Historical mid-June averages sit near 22 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of climatology. New model cycles and updated observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 13?
20°C 36%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
3%
17°C
9%
18°C
11%
19°C
32%
20°C
31%
21°C
22%
22°C or higher
6%
20°C 36%
19°C 32%
21°C 22%
18°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-13
12°C or below
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$0 交易量
<1%
14°C
$0 交易量
1%
15°C
$0 交易量
<1%
16°C
$0 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
9%
18°C
$188 交易量
11%
19°C
$20 交易量
32%
20°C
$46 交易量
31%
21°C
$20 交易量
22%
22°C or higher
$100 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and post-frontal cooling position Warsaw’s June 13 maximum most likely between 19–21 °C.**
A sharp temperature drop on June 10, driven by a low-pressure system, rain, and cold-air advection, has left cooler maritime air in place with continued westerly flow and cloud cover expected through mid-week. BBC and other guidance show highs near 19–20 °C for the 13th amid possible showers or drizzle that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs cluster tightly around this range, producing the near-even market split (19 °C at 32 %, 20 °C at 30.5 %, 21 °C at 22 %).
Differentiating factors include exact timing and coverage of convective activity, which can suppress maxima by 1–2 °C on any given run, versus partial clearing that would allow slightly warmer readings. Historical mid-June averages sit near 22 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of climatology. New model cycles and updated observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$262結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent model consensus and post-frontal cooling position Warsaw’s June 13 maximum most likely between 19–21 °C.**
A sharp temperature drop on June 10, driven by a low-pressure system, rain, and cold-air advection, has left cooler maritime air in place with continued westerly flow and cloud cover expected through mid-week. BBC and other guidance show highs near 19–20 °C for the 13th amid possible showers or drizzle that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs cluster tightly around this range, producing the near-even market split (19 °C at 32 %, 20 °C at 30.5 %, 21 °C at 22 %).
Differentiating factors include exact timing and coverage of convective activity, which can suppress maxima by 1–2 °C on any given run, versus partial clearing that would allow slightly warmer readings. Historical mid-June averages sit near 22 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of climatology. New model cycles and updated observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$262結束日期
2026-06-13市場開放時間
Jun 11, 2026, 12:06 AM ET**Recent model consensus and post-frontal cooling position Warsaw’s June 13 maximum most likely between 19–21 °C.** A sharp temperature drop on June 10, driven by a low-pressure system, rain, and cold-air advection, has left cooler maritime air in place with continued westerly flow and cloud cover expected through mid-week. BBC and other guidance show highs near 19–20 °C for the 13th amid possible showers or drizzle that limit daytime heating. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS runs cluster tightly around this range, producing the near-even market split (19 °C at 32 %, 20 °C at 30.5 %, 21 °C at 22 %). Differentiating factors include exact timing and coverage of convective activity, which can suppress maxima by 1–2 °C on any given run, versus partial clearing that would allow slightly warmer readings. Historical mid-June averages sit near 22 °C, but the current synoptic pattern favors the lower side of climatology. New model cycles and updated observational data in the next 24–48 hours remain the key variables that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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