Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on May 17, reflecting persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover that have limited daytime warming. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value with low spread, consistent with historical May climatology for the region. Afternoon surface observations or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing could still nudge readings by a degree, yet the strong consensus across deterministic and probabilistic guidance leaves only narrow pathways for an outcome of 14°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月17日華沙的最高溫度?
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,013 交易量
$52,013 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
13°C 99.6%
14°C <1%
15°C or higher <1%
$52,013 交易量
$52,013 交易量
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecast models from agencies including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and Poland’s Institute of Meteorology and Water Management indicate a maximum temperature of 13°C for Warsaw on May 17, reflecting persistent northerly flow and widespread cloud cover that have limited daytime warming. Ensemble runs show tight clustering around this value with low spread, consistent with historical May climatology for the region. Afternoon surface observations or minor shifts in boundary-layer mixing could still nudge readings by a degree, yet the strong consensus across deterministic and probabilistic guidance leaves only narrow pathways for an outcome of 14°C or higher.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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