Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震？ （更高的打擊）
6月30日前有多少次7.0或以上的地震？ （更高的打擊）
≤8 50%
10 16%
9 14%
11 11%
$90,387 交易量
$90,387 交易量
2026-06-30
≤8
51%
9
19%
10
16%
11
11%
12
8%
13
3%
14+
2%
≤8 50%
10 16%
9 14%
11 11%
$90,387 交易量
$90,387 交易量
2026-06-30
≤8
$25,442 交易量
51%
9
$17,549 交易量
19%
10
$8,417 交易量
16%
11
$28,083 交易量
11%
12
$4,406 交易量
8%
13
$2,773 交易量
3%
14+
$3,718 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ET
交易量
$90,387結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between December 4, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
交易量
$90,387結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Five confirmed magnitude 7.0+ earthquakes have occurred worldwide through mid-May 2026, primarily along Pacific Ring of Fire subduction zones in Tonga, Vanuatu, Indonesia, and Japan, according to USGS records. This tally aligns with the long-term average of roughly 15 such events per year, yet a three-week lull since the April 20 Japan event has tempered expectations for rapid accumulation before June 30. Seismicity follows a Poisson distribution characterized by clustering and quiet intervals, leaving traders to weigh the potential for one or two additional events in the coming six weeks against the risk of continued subdued activity. Ongoing USGS monitoring of major fault systems will determine whether the year-to-date pace holds or shifts the final June 30 count.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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