The heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$26,641 交易量
$26,641 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
97%
共和黨
1%
$26,641 交易量
$26,641 交易量
2026-11-02
民主黨
$12,288 交易量
97%
共和黨
$14,353 交易量
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
交易量
$26,641結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$26,641結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETThe heavily Democratic partisan lean of Illinois's 7th congressional district, which favored Kamala Harris by more than 36 points in 2024 and carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+34, underpins the overwhelming trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Danny Davis's retirement created an open seat, but the March 2026 Democratic primary produced state Representative La Shawn Ford as the nominee in a crowded field, while Republican Chad Koppie advanced with limited resources or visibility. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 60 points. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unanticipated national Republican surge could narrow the gap, though the district's composition and lack of competitive polling make such shifts improbable before the November general election.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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