Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月10日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月10日安卡拉最低溫度？
10°C或以下 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,724 交易量
$2,724 交易量
2026-09-10
10°C或以下
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C或以上
否
10°C或以下 100.0%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$2,724 交易量
$2,724 交易量
2026-09-10
10°C或以下
$554 交易量
是
11°C
$334 交易量
否
12°C
$361 交易量
否
13°C
$259 交易量
否
14°C
$390 交易量
否
15°C
$349 交易量
否
16°C
$234 交易量
否
17°C
$27 交易量
否
18°C
$45 交易量
否
19°C
$85 交易量
否
20°C或以上
$85 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$2,724結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,724結束日期
2026-09-10市場開放時間
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Trader consensus reflects numerical weather prediction models projecting efficient nighttime radiative cooling under clear, dry conditions in Ankara on September 10, with ensemble forecasts and recent observations indicating the minimum temperature will reach 10°C or below. Daytime highs near 25–30°C and low dew points have supported rapid temperature drops after sunset, aligning with early-September climatology where average lows range 11–14°C at stations like Esenboğa. The near-100% market-implied probability signals strong agreement across model runs with limited uncertainty in steering patterns or boundary-layer conditions. A realistic shift could occur if unexpected cloud cover or warm-air advection develops before official minimum readings finalize, though current synoptic setup favors the cooler outcome. Resolution hinges on verified station data from the Turkish Meteorological Service.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions