Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s overnight low on September 2 near 16–17 °C under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and high pressure that favors strong radiational cooling at the city’s 870 m elevation. Dry continental air and minimal cloud cover amplify the diurnal range, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the minimum create the tight spread between 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes. Traders weigh these model details against historical early-September climatology of 15–16 °C lows, with any late-model shift in wind or humidity the main variable that could push readings lower or hold them near 18 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日安卡拉最低溫度?
13°C or below 88%
15°C 88%
17°C 88%
16°C 56%
13°C or below
88%
14°C
41%
15°C
88%
16°C
56%
17°C
88%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
13°C or below 88%
15°C 88%
17°C 88%
16°C 56%
13°C or below
88%
14°C
41%
15°C
88%
16°C
56%
17°C
88%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
14%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest ensemble guidance from ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s overnight low on September 2 near 16–17 °C under clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and high pressure that favors strong radiational cooling at the city’s 870 m elevation. Dry continental air and minimal cloud cover amplify the diurnal range, while subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the minimum create the tight spread between 16 °C and 17 °C outcomes. Traders weigh these model details against historical early-September climatology of 15–16 °C lows, with any late-model shift in wind or humidity the main variable that could push readings lower or hold them near 18 °C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions