Recent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月15日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
9月15日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最低溫度？
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,333 交易量
$1,333 交易量
2026-09-15
4°C或以下
-
5°C
-
6°C
-
7°C
-
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C或以上
<1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$1,333 交易量
$1,333 交易量
2026-09-15
4°C或以下
$79 交易量
-
5°C
$69 交易量
-
6°C
$74 交易量
-
7°C
$245 交易量
-
8°C
$182 交易量
<1%
9°C
$646 交易量
<1%
10°C
$0 交易量
<1%
11°C
$0 交易量
<1%
12°C
$0 交易量
<1%
13°C
$22 交易量
<1%
14°C或以上
$16 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
交易量
$1,333結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,333結束日期
2026-09-15市場開放時間
Sep 13, 2026, 1:29 PM ETRecent observational data from Buenos Aires stations, including overnight readings near 6–7°C under clear skies and southeasterly winds, form the main driver behind the tightly clustered market-implied odds around 4–7°C. Radiative cooling during the night, combined with dry air and light winds, promoted efficient heat loss from the surface, while a modest cold-air mass kept daytime highs modest. Model guidance and station reports show minor variations in exact minimums depending on siting and timing, creating genuine uncertainty that explains the near-even split among the leading outcomes rather than a decisive lean. Official verification from the primary meteorological station will resolve the market once final hourly data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions