Recent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日開普敦最低溫度？
8月25日開普敦最低溫度？
14°C 42%
16°C 42%
7°C或以下 42%
17°C或以上 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
7°C或以下
42%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
28%
11°C
31%
12°C
28%
13°C
22%
14°C
42%
15°C
2%
16°C
42%
17°C或以上
40%
14°C 42%
16°C 42%
7°C或以下 42%
17°C或以上 40%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
7°C或以下
$5 交易量
42%
8°C
$0 交易量
22%
9°C
$0 交易量
22%
10°C
$0 交易量
28%
11°C
$0 交易量
31%
12°C
$0 交易量
28%
13°C
$0 交易量
22%
14°C
$5 交易量
42%
15°C
$5 交易量
2%
16°C
$5 交易量
42%
17°C或以上
$30 交易量
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$50結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRecent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions