Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 20–21 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin. Light winds and high dew points around 18–20 °C further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal range. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud thickness, while historical September baselines place typical minima near 19–20 °C. A slightly earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could push readings to 18 °C or below, but current conditions favor the higher end of the distribution. Updated station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日成都最低溫度？
9月20日成都最低溫度？
21°C 99.5%
18°C 74%
16°C或以下 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$710 交易量
$710 交易量
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C或更高
否
21°C 99.5%
18°C 74%
16°C或以下 1.0%
17°C 1.0%
$710 交易量
$710 交易量
2026-09-20
16°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
17°C
$0 交易量
否
18°C
$0 交易量
否
19°C
$15 交易量
否
20°C
$103 交易量
否
21°C
$127 交易量
是
22°C
$341 交易量
否
23°C
$31 交易量
否
24°C
$31 交易量
否
25°C
$31 交易量
否
26°C或更高
$31 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 20–21 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin. Light winds and high dew points around 18–20 °C further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal range. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud thickness, while historical September baselines place typical minima near 19–20 °C. A slightly earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could push readings to 18 °C or below, but current conditions favor the higher end of the distribution. Updated station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$710結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 20–21 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin. Light winds and high dew points around 18–20 °C further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal range. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud thickness, while historical September baselines place typical minima near 19–20 °C. A slightly earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could push readings to 18 °C or below, but current conditions favor the higher end of the distribution. Updated station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$710結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent forecasts from regional meteorological models indicate Chengdu's overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 20–21 °C, reflecting persistent cloud cover and elevated humidity that limit radiative cooling in the Sichuan basin. Light winds and high dew points around 18–20 °C further suppress temperature drops by enhancing downward longwave radiation and reducing the diurnal range. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because ensemble runs show only modest spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud thickness, while historical September baselines place typical minima near 19–20 °C. A slightly earlier clearing or stronger northerly flow could push readings to 18 °C or below, but current conditions favor the higher end of the distribution. Updated station observations from the China Meteorological Administration will resolve the market once the full 24-hour period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions