Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and supporting models project a daily minimum of 26°C on August 26, 2026, under continued subtropical high pressure with nighttime readings near 26–28°C and only scattered showers in southern districts unlikely to drive further cooling. Multiple real-time sources, including historical analogs and current observations, align on this threshold rather than the 22–25°C or 27–32°C alternatives. The near-certain market outcome reflects this consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected model revision, localized microclimate effect at official stations, or post-sunset measurement error could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月26日重慶最低氣溫?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,594 交易量
$17,594 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,594 交易量
$17,594 交易量
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau and supporting models project a daily minimum of 26°C on August 26, 2026, under continued subtropical high pressure with nighttime readings near 26–28°C and only scattered showers in southern districts unlikely to drive further cooling. Multiple real-time sources, including historical analogs and current observations, align on this threshold rather than the 22–25°C or 27–32°C alternatives. The near-certain market outcome reflects this consensus backed by skin-in-the-game trader assessment of stable atmospheric conditions. Only an unexpected model revision, localized microclimate effect at official stations, or post-sunset measurement error could realistically alter resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions