Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station highlight the onset of widespread rain and thunderstorms starting the night of August 28 as the dominant factor narrowing trader focus around 27–28°C lows. Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained daytime heat above 35°C, but incoming precipitation combined with possible cold-air advection behind the systems is expected to enhance nighttime cooling through cloud cover, evaporation, and reduced radiative warming. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs diverge modestly on rainfall timing, intensity over western districts, and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official 24-hour bulletins through August 27 will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月28日重慶最低氣溫?
31°C or higher 76%
28°C 46%
29°C 46%
27°C 42%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
40%
26°C
41%
27°C
42%
28°C
46%
29°C
46%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
76%
31°C or higher 76%
28°C 46%
29°C 46%
27°C 42%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
7%
25°C
40%
26°C
41%
27°C
42%
28°C
46%
29°C
46%
30°C
9%
31°C or higher
76%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from the Chongqing Meteorological Station highlight the onset of widespread rain and thunderstorms starting the night of August 28 as the dominant factor narrowing trader focus around 27–28°C lows. Persistent subtropical high pressure has sustained daytime heat above 35°C, but incoming precipitation combined with possible cold-air advection behind the systems is expected to enhance nighttime cooling through cloud cover, evaporation, and reduced radiative warming. Multiple numerical weather prediction runs diverge modestly on rainfall timing, intensity over western districts, and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Updated model guidance and official 24-hour bulletins through August 27 will likely resolve remaining uncertainty ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions