Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 2 will most likely settle between 24–26°C, reflecting the typical early-September transition in the Pearl River Delta's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm, humid air from the South China Sea, combined with limited cold-air advection and no active typhoon or frontal systems, supports these readings against a historical baseline average low near 25°C. Trader consensus aligns with this range because recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, while the 29°C-or-higher outcome remains plausible only if daytime heat lingers unusually late. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration are expected within the next 24 hours and could refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月2日廣州最低溫度？
9月2日廣州最低溫度？
26°C 100%
27°C 96%
28°C 96%
29°C or higher 83%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
59%
22°C
43%
23°C
46%
24°C
57%
25°C
41%
26°C
100%
27°C
96%
28°C
96%
29°C or higher
83%
26°C 100%
27°C 96%
28°C 96%
29°C or higher 83%
最新
最新
2026-09-02
19°C or below
$150 交易量
<1%
20°C
$228 交易量
<1%
21°C
$63 交易量
59%
22°C
$0 交易量
43%
23°C
$0 交易量
46%
24°C
$0 交易量
57%
25°C
$0 交易量
41%
26°C
$0 交易量
100%
27°C
$0 交易量
96%
28°C
$5 交易量
96%
29°C or higher
$5 交易量
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 2 will most likely settle between 24–26°C, reflecting the typical early-September transition in the Pearl River Delta's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm, humid air from the South China Sea, combined with limited cold-air advection and no active typhoon or frontal systems, supports these readings against a historical baseline average low near 25°C. Trader consensus aligns with this range because recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, while the 29°C-or-higher outcome remains plausible only if daytime heat lingers unusually late. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration are expected within the next 24 hours and could refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$451結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 2 will most likely settle between 24–26°C, reflecting the typical early-September transition in the Pearl River Delta's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm, humid air from the South China Sea, combined with limited cold-air advection and no active typhoon or frontal systems, supports these readings against a historical baseline average low near 25°C. Trader consensus aligns with this range because recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, while the 29°C-or-higher outcome remains plausible only if daytime heat lingers unusually late. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration are expected within the next 24 hours and could refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$451結束日期
2026-09-02市場開放時間
Aug 31, 2026, 12:32 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from global models indicate minimum temperatures in Guangzhou on September 2 will most likely settle between 24–26°C, reflecting the typical early-September transition in the Pearl River Delta's subtropical monsoon climate. Persistent warm, humid air from the South China Sea, combined with limited cold-air advection and no active typhoon or frontal systems, supports these readings against a historical baseline average low near 25°C. Trader consensus aligns with this range because recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant downward revisions, while the 29°C-or-higher outcome remains plausible only if daytime heat lingers unusually late. Official updates from the China Meteorological Administration are expected within the next 24 hours and could refine probabilities ahead of the daily minimum observation.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions