The market consensus for a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, reflects verified observations from official National Weather Service stations, including Houston Hobby Airport, showing a daily minimum in that narrow band amid persistently warm, humid Gulf air with overnight lows elevated by southeasterly flow and limited radiational cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends where September minima have frequently exceeded the 1991-2020 average of 73.3°F due to above-normal sea surface temperatures and weak frontal activity. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability rests on post-event data releases confirming no cooler pockets or station discrepancies. Only revised official records or uncharacteristic measurement adjustments could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for daily temperature markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日休斯敦的最低溫度？
9月13日休斯敦的最低溫度？
78-79°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$984 交易量
$984 交易量
2026-09-13
華氏71度或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
否
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
是
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
華氏90度或以上
否
78-79°F 100.0%
華氏71度或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$984 交易量
$984 交易量
2026-09-13
華氏71度或以下
$0 交易量
否
72-73°F
$0 交易量
否
74-75°F
$81 交易量
否
76-77°F
$131 交易量
否
78-79°F
$429 交易量
是
80-81°F
$343 交易量
否
82-83°F
$0 交易量
否
84-85°F
$0 交易量
否
86-87°F
$0 交易量
否
88-89°F
$0 交易量
否
華氏90度或以上
$0 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus for a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, reflects verified observations from official National Weather Service stations, including Houston Hobby Airport, showing a daily minimum in that narrow band amid persistently warm, humid Gulf air with overnight lows elevated by southeasterly flow and limited radiational cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends where September minima have frequently exceeded the 1991-2020 average of 73.3°F due to above-normal sea surface temperatures and weak frontal activity. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability rests on post-event data releases confirming no cooler pockets or station discrepancies. Only revised official records or uncharacteristic measurement adjustments could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for daily temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET
交易量
$984結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus for a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, reflects verified observations from official National Weather Service stations, including Houston Hobby Airport, showing a daily minimum in that narrow band amid persistently warm, humid Gulf air with overnight lows elevated by southeasterly flow and limited radiational cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends where September minima have frequently exceeded the 1991-2020 average of 73.3°F due to above-normal sea surface temperatures and weak frontal activity. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability rests on post-event data releases confirming no cooler pockets or station discrepancies. Only revised official records or uncharacteristic measurement adjustments could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for daily temperature markets.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$984結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 3:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The market consensus for a lowest temperature of 78-79°F in Houston on September 13, 2026, reflects verified observations from official National Weather Service stations, including Houston Hobby Airport, showing a daily minimum in that narrow band amid persistently warm, humid Gulf air with overnight lows elevated by southeasterly flow and limited radiational cooling. This aligns with recent climatological trends where September minima have frequently exceeded the 1991-2020 average of 73.3°F due to above-normal sea surface temperatures and weak frontal activity. Trader positioning at near-100% implied probability rests on post-event data releases confirming no cooler pockets or station discrepancies. Only revised official records or uncharacteristic measurement adjustments could alter resolution, though such revisions remain rare for daily temperature markets.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions