**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日米蘭的最低溫度？
9月13日米蘭的最低溫度？
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$3,078 交易量
$3,078 交易量
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
9%
17°C
-
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C或更高
<1%
16°C 9%
12°C 7%
11°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
$3,078 交易量
$3,078 交易量
2026-09-13
11°C或以下
$75 交易量
1%
12°C
$30 交易量
7%
13°C
$152 交易量
1%
14°C
$150 交易量
1%
15°C
$102 交易量
1%
16°C
$151 交易量
9%
17°C
$392 交易量
-
18°C
$297 交易量
<1%
19°C
$1,699 交易量
<1%
20°C
$15 交易量
<1%
21°C或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset.
Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$3,078結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset.
Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,078結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern Italy have produced mild overnight temperatures in Milan, positioning 17°C as the market favorite at 69% implied probability.** Multiple forecast models, including those from European and global sources, converge on a daily minimum near 18–20°C (roughly 64–68°F) for September 13, driven by light winds, high surface pressure around 1020–1022 hPa, and minimal cloud cover that permits moderate radiative cooling after sunset. Urban heat-island effects in the city center and the timing of the minimum (typically pre-dawn) add small uncertainty, keeping probabilities for 16°C or 18°C low but non-zero. No major frontal systems or precipitation are expected to alter the thermal profile before the day ends, and historical September climatology supports minima in this narrow band absent unusual advection. Traders appear to be weighting the tight model consensus and current observations heavily, with the market reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the final official reading.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions