Recent National Weather Service forecast models project an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on May 18, driven by a warm, moist southerly air mass and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 53–55 °F at Central Park, placing the highest market-implied probability on the 66–67 °F bin. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily because resolution occurs within hours, with any final adjustment in guidance on wind patterns or boundary-layer mixing likely to shift odds only modestly before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日紐約市的最低溫度？
5月18日紐約市的最低溫度？
66-67°F 44%
68-69°F 25.1%
64-65°F 15%
華氏72度或更高 3.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
53°F或以下
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
15%
66-67°F
44%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
3%
華氏72度或更高
3%
66-67°F 44%
68-69°F 25.1%
64-65°F 15%
華氏72度或更高 3.4%
最新
最新
2026-05-18
53°F或以下
$2,072 交易量
1%
54-55°F
$75 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$113 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$107 交易量
<1%
60-61°F
$485 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$410 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$176 交易量
15%
66-67°F
$361 交易量
44%
68-69°F
$501 交易量
25%
70-71°F
$557 交易量
3%
華氏72度或更高
$2,267 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecast models project an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on May 18, driven by a warm, moist southerly air mass and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 53–55 °F at Central Park, placing the highest market-implied probability on the 66–67 °F bin. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily because resolution occurs within hours, with any final adjustment in guidance on wind patterns or boundary-layer mixing likely to shift odds only modestly before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$7,064結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecast models project an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on May 18, driven by a warm, moist southerly air mass and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 53–55 °F at Central Park, placing the highest market-implied probability on the 66–67 °F bin. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily because resolution occurs within hours, with any final adjustment in guidance on wind patterns or boundary-layer mixing likely to shift odds only modestly before midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,064結束日期
2026-05-18市場開放時間
May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent National Weather Service forecast models project an overnight low in the mid-60s Fahrenheit for New York City on May 18, driven by a warm, moist southerly air mass and minimal cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. This setup deviates from the mid-May climatological normal of roughly 53–55 °F at Central Park, placing the highest market-implied probability on the 66–67 °F bin. Traders are weighting the latest model consensus heavily because resolution occurs within hours, with any final adjustment in guidance on wind patterns or boundary-layer mixing likely to shift odds only modestly before midnight.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions