Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds over Paris on September 23, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that could drive the overnight low into the 10–13 °C range. Dry air masses and high pressure reduce cloud cover and limit warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 8–10 °C set a floor on how far temperatures can fall before saturation occurs. Ensemble spreads still encompass outcomes from 8 °C or below—under optimal radiational conditions—to 11–12 °C if residual moisture or slightly stronger winds develop, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around these thresholds. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine the balance between these factors ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月23日巴黎最低溫度？
9月23日巴黎最低溫度？
8°C或以下 49%
13°C 35%
9°C 33%
14°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
8°C或以下
49%
9°C
33%
10°C
29%
11°C
27%
12°C
20%
13°C
35%
14°C
33%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C或以上
2%
8°C或以下 49%
13°C 35%
9°C 33%
14°C 33%
最新
最新
2026-09-23
8°C或以下
$0 交易量
49%
9°C
$0 交易量
33%
10°C
$78 交易量
29%
11°C
$0 交易量
27%
12°C
$63 交易量
20%
13°C
$0 交易量
35%
14°C
$0 交易量
33%
15°C
$0 交易量
2%
16°C
$0 交易量
2%
17°C
$0 交易量
2%
18°C或以上
$0 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds over Paris on September 23, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that could drive the overnight low into the 10–13 °C range. Dry air masses and high pressure reduce cloud cover and limit warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 8–10 °C set a floor on how far temperatures can fall before saturation occurs. Ensemble spreads still encompass outcomes from 8 °C or below—under optimal radiational conditions—to 11–12 °C if residual moisture or slightly stronger winds develop, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around these thresholds. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine the balance between these factors ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$141結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds over Paris on September 23, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that could drive the overnight low into the 10–13 °C range. Dry air masses and high pressure reduce cloud cover and limit warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 8–10 °C set a floor on how far temperatures can fall before saturation occurs. Ensemble spreads still encompass outcomes from 8 °C or below—under optimal radiational conditions—to 11–12 °C if residual moisture or slightly stronger winds develop, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around these thresholds. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine the balance between these factors ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$141結束日期
2026-09-23市場開放時間
Sep 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate mostly clear skies and light northeast winds over Paris on September 23, favoring strong nocturnal radiative cooling that could drive the overnight low into the 10–13 °C range. Dry air masses and high pressure reduce cloud cover and limit warm-air advection, while dew-point values near 8–10 °C set a floor on how far temperatures can fall before saturation occurs. Ensemble spreads still encompass outcomes from 8 °C or below—under optimal radiational conditions—to 11–12 °C if residual moisture or slightly stronger winds develop, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered around these thresholds. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will refine the balance between these factors ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions