Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm atmospheric conditions over Shanghai on May 16 favored a minimum temperature of 19°C, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical for mid-May. This alignment with climatological norms for the region—where May lows average 18–20°C—underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds near 99.8% for that outcome. Minor uncertainties in localized urban heat island effects or slight forecast revisions could still shift final official readings, though such adjustments remain improbable given the narrow observed range and lack of frontal activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月16日上海最低溫度?
19°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$44,580 交易量
$44,580 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
19°C 99.8%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
14°C或以下 <1%
$44,580 交易量
$44,580 交易量
14°C或以下
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
100%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent meteorological observations and model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration confirm atmospheric conditions over Shanghai on May 16 favored a minimum temperature of 19°C, driven by clear skies, light winds, and radiative cooling under a stable high-pressure system typical for mid-May. This alignment with climatological norms for the region—where May lows average 18–20°C—underpins the overwhelming market-implied odds near 99.8% for that outcome. Minor uncertainties in localized urban heat island effects or slight forecast revisions could still shift final official readings, though such adjustments remain improbable given the narrow observed range and lack of frontal activity.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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