Recent numerical weather model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts support a stable springtime high-pressure pattern over eastern China that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling. These conditions favor an official low of 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Recent observations from mid-May show overnight lows holding above the 17–19 °C climatological average amid light southeast winds and increasing boundary-layer moisture that reduces further cooling. The next full model update cycle within the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture forecasts and could shift the most likely outcome between 19 °C and 20 °C ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月18日上海最低溫度?
20°C 47%
19°C 30%
18°C 10%
22°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
24%
20°C
47%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
20°C 47%
19°C 30%
18°C 10%
22°C 5%
15°C或以下
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
24%
20°C
47%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: May 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent numerical weather model runs from the Global Forecast System and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts support a stable springtime high-pressure pattern over eastern China that limits cold-air advection while allowing moderate overnight radiative cooling. These conditions favor an official low of 19–20 °C at Shanghai Pudong International Airport on May 18, aligning with the market’s leading implied probabilities. Recent observations from mid-May show overnight lows holding above the 17–19 °C climatological average amid light southeast winds and increasing boundary-layer moisture that reduces further cooling. The next full model update cycle within the next 24 hours will refine wind and moisture forecasts and could shift the most likely outcome between 19 °C and 20 °C ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions