**Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity across Taipei on September 4 are holding overnight temperatures near seasonal norms, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 25°C low.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global forecasts show expected nighttime minima of 24–26°C amid widespread rain and overcast skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with Taipei’s typical early-September low of roughly 24–25°C under humid subtropical conditions, with no incoming cold air mass or clear-sky radiative drop to push readings lower. Recent model runs emphasize continued moisture and light winds through the night, reducing the likelihood of sharper declines to 22°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, as evidenced by the 90% implied probability on 25°C. Updated evening observations and any final overnight model adjustments could provide the last inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日臺北最低氣溫？
9月4日臺北最低氣溫？
25°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$1,153 交易量
$1,153 交易量
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C或以上
否
25°C 99.5%
21°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
24°C 1.0%
$1,153 交易量
$1,153 交易量
2026-09-04
21°C或以下
$50 交易量
否
22°C
$92 交易量
否
23°C
$112 交易量
否
24°C
$30 交易量
否
25°C
$37 交易量
是
26°C
$232 交易量
否
27°C
$40 交易量
否
28°C
$140 交易量
否
29°C
$140 交易量
否
30°C
$140 交易量
否
31°C或以上
$140 交易量
否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity across Taipei on September 4 are holding overnight temperatures near seasonal norms, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 25°C low.**
Official and model guidance from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global forecasts show expected nighttime minima of 24–26°C amid widespread rain and overcast skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with Taipei’s typical early-September low of roughly 24–25°C under humid subtropical conditions, with no incoming cold air mass or clear-sky radiative drop to push readings lower. Recent model runs emphasize continued moisture and light winds through the night, reducing the likelihood of sharper declines to 22°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, as evidenced by the 90% implied probability on 25°C. Updated evening observations and any final overnight model adjustments could provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,153結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity across Taipei on September 4 are holding overnight temperatures near seasonal norms, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 25°C low.**
Official and model guidance from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global forecasts show expected nighttime minima of 24–26°C amid widespread rain and overcast skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with Taipei’s typical early-September low of roughly 24–25°C under humid subtropical conditions, with no incoming cold air mass or clear-sky radiative drop to push readings lower. Recent model runs emphasize continued moisture and light winds through the night, reducing the likelihood of sharper declines to 22°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, as evidenced by the 90% implied probability on 25°C. Updated evening observations and any final overnight model adjustments could provide the last inputs before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,153結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity across Taipei on September 4 are holding overnight temperatures near seasonal norms, supporting the market's strong consensus around a 25°C low.** Official and model guidance from sources including the Central Weather Administration and global forecasts show expected nighttime minima of 24–26°C amid widespread rain and overcast skies that limit radiational cooling. This aligns with Taipei’s typical early-September low of roughly 24–25°C under humid subtropical conditions, with no incoming cold air mass or clear-sky radiative drop to push readings lower. Recent model runs emphasize continued moisture and light winds through the night, reducing the likelihood of sharper declines to 22°C or below. Traders appear to be weighting these stable atmospheric conditions heavily, as evidenced by the 90% implied probability on 25°C. Updated evening observations and any final overnight model adjustments could provide the last inputs before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions